RE: Tim Bray on "Which Technologies Matter?"
>>6. I claim that hitting an 80/20 point is a strong predictor of >> success (positive and also negative in that technologies that don't >> hit it usually don't succeed), that there are a few less strong >> predictors (happy programmers, good early implementations, technical >> elegance), and that military backing is a weakish negative >> indicators. >I had hoped that people would hit on some of these points. Are there any >technologies that DID hit a clear 80/20 point that lost out in the >marketplace to more complex competitors (that weren't already entrenched)? How does one know when a given technology reaches the 80/20 point other than by its success in the marketplace? Maybe the 80/20 point is a good predictor of success, but the whole concept of 80/20 is too slippery for me to grasp. Could someone tell me how does one design something to hit the 80/20 point? StanD.
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