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[XML-DEV Mailing List Archive Home] [By Thread] [By Date] [Recent Entries] [Reply To This Message] RE: The Future of HTML and Internet Explorer
True and we are all in a tricky position. HTML won't go away though. It will still be the easiest way to do some ubiquitous tasks, but it becomes less of a requirement for application building. 1. Not nearly as many middle tier vendors have migrated to the web as some would believe. There are a lot of fat-client/local hard disk applications both in the field and in production. Performance, security, lack of good QBE features, etc. have held back the web. Not everyone voted with their feet in the way CNet.com might lead one to believe. 2. The migration onto the web has been occurring in some of these markets in the edge applications. In other words, wherever an application really does need extraprise communications, HTTP, UDP, FTP and so on are used. But wall to wall, it hasn't made good sense. The browser never won; it just got Bacchus's seat at the tabletop in webValhalla. 3. .Net and managed code change that but not because the problems were fixed but that the underlying framework was reworked in the direction of the web by making XML ubiquitous and service-oriented development a requirement. Longhorn completes that rework. It forces the hand of the middle tier vendors who now MUST begin a massive rebuilding of their soon-to-be legacies that were last year's demoWowsers. On the other hand, Longhorn seems to provide a middle ground between the web architecture and the local LAN desktop environment. It's always been obvious that the web architecture was not an overarching all consuming architecture for all computing applications everywhere all the time. It's network plumbing plus some syntax that is cheap and convenient to use. It reduced the surface area for building large distributed hypermedia systems, and that's fantastic. It is not the final solution for app building. In Longhorn, the URI is not a requirement for navigation. Even the navigation object isn't a requirement. The state persistence capabilities improve. Business rules don't have to live on the server. There are options and we have to be smart about applying these. 4. At the same time, Longhorm gives middle tier some breathing room. RFPs that have been insisting on last year's .Net or a 'web-browser only' application will be pushed back because rightly, the middle tier can respond, 'if we do that we have to replace it in three years', so the need to accelerate web applications is less even if the need to master some new languages and a new framework is more. This changes the rules of the game. Even as the IT budgets have gotten smaller, in three years, some of that will turn around (the economies will rebound) and the time to buy completely new state of the art systems will be fairly close to exactly when Longhorn is ready for prime time. The target for nextGen systems just moved out three years and can have a very different character than that predicted by many not very well read bloggers. That is why I say to the opponents of Longhorn: Threats and howling about openness won't do more than stir up the dust. While you still have time, open up the documents and begin to figure out what is good about the architecture. If the reply is, "Absolutely nothing" (War, what is it good for!) then selah. But if you bet wrong, it will be a potentially fatal bet. So I'd drop the time wasting Spy Vs Spy stuff and buckle down to some serious analysis. "It don't matter what you think if you're drinking bad water". len From: Didier PH Martin [mailto:martind@n...] Hi Len, Len said: You need the right technology, the right sales pitch, and yes, some innovation. Threats get you absolutely nothing this time because technology companies are going to refuse to go along with a campaign that leaves them less competitive. Didier replies: May I add also that less cash than in the 90s is available. Cheers Didier PH Martin http://didier-martin.com
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