RE: Tim Bray on "Which Technologies Matter?"
Do the other as well. Based on those, the Semantic Web, DAML, OIL, and maybe RDF are headed for the heap too. RISC succeeded and quietly was absorbed into the Intel monopoly. Once a monopoly exists, its leadership is the predictor of success for technologies that follow. MS support was the main factor in the success of XML. All other factors pale by comparison. Anyone think that earlier adoption and less public resistance from Netscape on the use of XML would have benefitted their independence and survival? Resistance to the markup meme seems to do damage. This is one where the markup detractors hurt their businesses. But there is coming a time when XML will have to defend itself. A solid, clear-eyed, experienced and well-informed developer and user base will be its best defense. Keep a clean history and don't divide up along the lines of who zoomed who. That is a losing strategy because it enables you to weaken yourselves and your competitors will use the press to help you do it. len From: Mike Champion [mailto:mc@x...] >Finally, if Tim is right, what XML technologies would YOU bet on as >market successes? I'll beat Paul Prescod to the punch :~) and suggest that if Tim is right, REST will beat SOAP-RPC. That will be a classic showdown ... EVERY other "predictive" factor would suggest that SOAP-RPC will win, and 80/20 clearly suggests that REST will win. That will also test Michael Kay's alternative hypothesis that whatever gets the most support from the pundits will be the winner. Seal your ballot and put it in a time capsule to be opened in 2007! ----------------------------------------------------------------- The xml-dev list is sponsored by XML.org <http://www.xml.org>, an initiative of OASIS <http://www.oasis-open.org> The list archives are at http://lists.xml.org/archives/xml-dev/ To subscribe or unsubscribe from this list use the subscription manager: <http://lists.xml.org/ob/adm.pl>
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