Re: Future Of Browsers - Business Model Perspective
>>FACT: There are so many people who do not have computers but do have televisions, will cause the following to occur. The web may be more ubiquitous than you think: http://www.msnbc.com/news/190591.asp Study: 1/3 of U.S. adults on Internet Women over 50 among fastest-growing group online Dave At 09:42 AM 8/26/98 -0500, you wrote: >The "Future of Browsers" from a business model perspective. > >FACT: There are so many people who do not have computers >but do have televisions, will cause the following to occur. > >1.) Mass in numbers = massive potential market demand for information >access. >2.) They all want email like everyone else. >3.) They want access to web information like everyone else. >4.) The "Industry Cable and Telephone" entities will compete > with each other to tap that market and deliver a > hardware solution that is not a traditional desktop. >5.) Example: > Omaha, NE has 2 true service providers to everyone's > house. COX cable is 30 percent complete in true fiber > to the user, and will be offering all the services > (local phone, long distance, 2way-cable, xDSL internet). > U.S.West is the local teleco and has experimented w/ > fiber in West Omaha and gave it up because of their > shortsightedness. But U.S.West can't afford to lose > the Omaha subscriber base so will be forced to compete. >6.) The above example will provide a model for all the others > to ramp up high speed internet access, using HDTV set top > boxes that will run a new OS. Which will cause developers > to target that OS at mass quantities. >7.) This will cause a major vacuum and we all know what that > causes. >8.) Therefore the Future of Browsers is still transforming > itself until you have fulfilled all potential web access > and email demand. The OS and browser that captures the most > customer base will absolutely affect the future browser structure. >9.) True real-time 30 fps video/audio consumption and production will > occur within that hardware structure and standards will be pushed > out and all browsers will conform to item #9. >10.) Digital T.V.'s will be physically separated out into 2 parts. > The tuner slash computer and the display. Allowing owners to > upgrade their tuner slash computer while keeping their 16x9 digital > thin panel display's. >11.) Currently MPEG2 encoders/decoders can deliver item #9 at 6.5MB/sec. > Current uses are distance learning....current cost of hardware > MPEG2 encoder/decoders is $15,000. per channel. High end Pentium II's > can decode on the fly, so Pentium II class desktop tuner/computer's > can sub for the decoder's. >12.) This will allow home's and buildings and vehicles and individuals > to be permanently linked to the net, and allow people to interface > in real time to each other, their home, their business, no matter > where they are. >13.) Finally, the information revolution will have peaked out and > information appliances will be as common and as mundane as the touch > tone telephone is to us today. >14.) And all the accumulation of wealth that comes from being a proactive > information market miner will be exhausted, similarly as the Gold Rush > day's of the later 19th century. > >This is how I see the overall view of the future of browsers....within that >overall framework...you all doing all the current XML research will provide >the structure for those who use XML to create content for the current stage >of the ongoing information revolution... > >JD Garrett > > > >xml-dev: A list for W3C XML Developers. To post, mailto:xml-dev@i... >Archived as: http://www.lists.ic.ac.uk/hypermail/xml-dev/ >To (un)subscribe, mailto:majordomo@i... the following message; >(un)subscribe xml-dev >To subscribe to the digests, mailto:majordomo@i... the following message; >subscribe xml-dev-digest >List coordinator, Henry Rzepa (mailto:rzepa@i...) > > -------------------------------------- http://www.userland.com/directory.html xml-dev: A list for W3C XML Developers. To post, mailto:xml-dev@i... Archived as: http://www.lists.ic.ac.uk/hypermail/xml-dev/ To (un)subscribe, mailto:majordomo@i... the following message; (un)subscribe xml-dev To subscribe to the digests, mailto:majordomo@i... the following message; subscribe xml-dev-digest List coordinator, Henry Rzepa (mailto:rzepa@i...)
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