[XML-DEV Mailing List Archive Home] [By Thread] [By Date] [Recent Entries] [Reply To This Message] RE: "Open XML" et al... Blech... Re: Microsoft buy
Right. Lock-in occurs when feedback based on near neighbors becomes irreversible leading to a natural monopoly. The question is then whether or not prices are optimum for the customers. If they aren't, a competitor has an easy time taking over niches where price breaks count. Looking at the adoption of some products, it is obvious that this tends to be the early adopters, hobbyists, start ups, etc. Outside of Microsoft's competitors who are fueling this controversy, those and the venture capitalists who will benefit in reducing MS dominance in any software area by their manipulation of the start ups. But government interference is not always the best possible outcome. Copyrights aren't enforced and patents become a means of exclusion. What about the case where the government finances the start up then allows it to obtain patents on information developed by open sources such as OASIS at the point of market emergence? Doesn't happen, Mike? Yes it does. Remember HumanML? The OASIS initiative ran for several years. It produced prototypes and drafts, but mainly it produced an open list with a lot of research into emotion engines for simulators. It was derided on this list and elsewhere. Yesterday this showed up in the trades: http://www.newvectors.net/staff/parunakv/AAMAS06EmotionModel.pdf http://www.cnet.com/8301-13639_1-9773239-42.html?tag=nefd.blgs Look at the dates at the end of that paper. Note who financed it: DARPA and NPS. DARPA is the same organization that set Mosaic in motion having seen the work at the US Army and other companies such as EBT. NPS is one of the bigger sponsors of VRML/X3D where HumanML spawned. The government is not a singular good force for business. It manipulates the market too just as IBM is doing this time. It's a rough game. MS plays to win because when one looks around, so is everyone else. There is no "natural" monopoly. There is competition, winners, losers, and that profoundly unnatural but shining example of fools who become tools not by being unintelligent or untalented but unbelievably naïve or worse, so enchanted with their place in the priesthood they are more than willing to entice the naïve to offer up their work to knife and bleed for the gods of open source. Ayn Rand was right. len From: Michael Kay [mailto:mike@s...] > > I'm unsure about a 'natural tendency' to converge on a single > software product, but individuals are often constrained by IT > policies. Ken, Everything you say about the history of how MS Office came to beat its competitors is true, and it's an excellent analysis. But in other markets you can be the dominant player with 30% of the market; with software products such as Windows and Office, once you're in the lead or perceived as being in the lead, there's a tendency for that 30% to become 90% because even the people who prefer a different product find that it's easier to follow the crowd rather than following their own preferences - and that's all to do with interoperability of documents and transferability of skills. It's true that the choice is sometimes at the corporate level and sometimes at the personal level, but it amounts to the same thing: for every person who chose MS Office because they liked it, there are four or five who use it because it's easiest to use the same as everyone else. That's what's makes it a natural monopoly, almost like public water supply. And in other areas where there are natural monopolies, we don't allow the owner of that monopoly to set arbitrary prices and make $40bn profits on $50bn of turnover. Of course free enterprise is a good thing and governments shouldn't interfere. But if governments didn't interfere then there wouldn't be any copyright legislation and MS wouldn't be making any profit at all. MS are wealthy because we, as citizens, have elected governments who have given MS a license to print money. I'm not saying MS didn't make some good decisions that led to them winning the jackpot - but the jackpot shouldn't be there to win. Michael Kay http://www.saxonica.com/ _______________________________________________________________________ XML-DEV is a publicly archived, unmoderated list hosted by OASIS to support XML implementation and development. To minimize spam in the archives, you must subscribe before posting. [Un]Subscribe/change address: http://www.oasis-open.org/mlmanage/ Or unsubscribe: xml-dev-unsubscribe@l... subscribe: xml-dev-subscribe@l... List archive: http://lists.xml.org/archives/xml-dev/ List Guidelines: http://www.oasis-open.org/maillists/guidelines.php
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