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RE: 2007 Predictions

• From: "Len Bullard" <cbullard@h...>
• To: "'XML Developers List'" <xml-dev@l...>
• Date: Sat, 13 Jan 2007 13:36:33 -0600

2007 is the year that the HTML/CSS browser as the ultimate wrapper for web
content begins to see serious competition from standalone applications where
market revenue recognition predictions are impacted by the complexities of
relying on plug-ins.  The WHATWG vs W3C shootouts indicate that the constant
massaging of the HTML frameworks to get small competitive advantages from
loss-leaders affects the emergence of other markets in the plugins that do
not actually need other than standard network support.  In short, the HTML
browser is finally seen as the market pig that it is.

UDP is embraced as not only a credible but essential alternative to HTTP.
Network surgery begins to be seen as the enemy of productivity in the
content suites and nodes that enable declarative network support become an
area of standardization for applications that want to be free of the HTML
pig.

XAML surges ahead of competitors because it is better suited for the
construction of non-browser hosted frameworks for standalone applications.

3D continues its steady climb to prominence for wrapping multimedia
applications with renewed focus on single user applications.  CD sales are
revived as the better market distribution means with a realization in the
music industry that this is the way to enhance and preserve the Wal-Mart
distribution channels where unit sales are more easily recognized and
revenue recognition more easily controlled.  Web distros are seen for what
they are:  the fast track to piracy but continue to grow proportional to the
penetration of broadband but slowed by increased concerns in the public for
identity theft and green house gases.  Multi-user applications begin a trend
away from server-farm applications to peer-to-peer protocols.

2008 - Virtual American Idol is held in SecondLife.  No age barrier and
gender becomes a mystery.  Paula Abdul is revealed to be a Caucasian male
with enhancements and deletions.   Randy Jackson is actually Latoya.  Simon
is Simon.  

len

• Follow-Ups:
  • Re: 2007 Predictions
    • From: "Kurt Cagle" <kurt.cagle@g...>

• References:
  • Re: 2007 Predictions
    • From: "Pete Cordell" <petexmldev@t...>